Built 12 Oct, 15:15
What the model expects.
Every number here comes from the engine that marks a squad, projected over the opening 15 gameweeks. Published before the matches so it can be checked against them — the scorecard is here.
- 1ARSCOVavlCHEsunbhaLEEnfoEVElivHULnewMCIbretotBOU+0.62
- 2MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUNlivIPSavlBHAnfoFULarsLEEbreCHE+0.53
- 3LIVnewNFOipsFULbouMCIbreBHAARScryMUNeveSUNcheLEE+0.25
- 4MUNhulIPSeveMCIfulTOTleeBOUcheAVLlivBREnewCOVcry+0.23
- 5BHAAVLcheLEEcovARSsunCRYlivmciBREhulNEWbounfoEVE+0.15
- 6BRETOTleeSUNbouCHEavlLIVhulNFObhaEVEmunARSMCIful+0.08
- ···
- 19TOTbreNEWnfoEVEAVLmunCOVcheCRYleeIPSsunFULARShul-0.27
- 20COVarsHULmciBHAnfoNEWtotFULSUNeveCRYleeIPSmunAVL-0.36
- 1ARSCOVavlCHEsunbhaLEEnfoEVElivHULnewMCIbretotBOU+0.62
- 2MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUNlivIPSavlBHAnfoFULarsLEEbreCHE+0.53
- 3LIVnewNFOipsFULbouMCIbreBHAARScryMUNeveSUNcheLEE+0.25
- 4MUNhulIPSeveMCIfulTOTleeBOUcheAVLlivBREnewCOVcry+0.23
- 5BHAAVLcheLEEcovARSsunCRYlivmciBREhulNEWbounfoEVE+0.15
- 6BRETOTleeSUNbouCHEavlLIVhulNFObhaEVEmunARSMCIful+0.08
- 7CHEfulBHAarsHULbreBOUeveTOTMUNsunLEEnfoCRYLIVmci+0.05
- 8NEWLIVtotBOUleeHULcovAVLcryEVEfulARSbhaMUNSUNips+0.02
- 9BOUmciEVEnewBRELIVcheSUNmunLEEipsNFOfulBHAHULars0.00
- 10HULMUNcovAVLchenewEVEfulBREIPSarsBHAcryNFObouTOT-0.08
- 11LEEnfoBREbhaNEWCRYarsMUNsunbouTOTcheCOVmciIPSliv-0.08
- 12AVLbhaARShulNFOtotBREnewMCIFULmunSUNipsEVECRYcov-0.10
- 13CRYeveMCIfulIPSleeNFObhaNEWtotLIVcovHULcheavlMUN-0.14
- 14FULCHEsunCRYlivMUNipsHULcovavlNEWmciBOUtoteveBRE-0.14
- 15NFOLEElivTOTavlCOVcryARSipsbreMCIbouCHEhulBHAsun-0.14
- 16EVECRYbouMUNtotIPShulCHEarsnewCOVbreLIVavlFULbha-0.15
- 17IPSSUNmunLIVcryeveFULmciNFOhulBOUtotAVLcovleeNEW-0.21
- 18SUNipsFULbreARSmciBHAbouLEEcovCHEavlTOTlivnewNFO-0.27
- 19TOTbreNEWnfoEVEAVLmunCOVcheCRYleeIPSsunFULARShul-0.27
- 20COVarsHULmciBHAnfoNEWtotFULSUNeveCRYleeIPSmunAVL-0.36
UPPERCASE home · lowercase away
Ranked by net expected goals per game, so a blank can’t flatter a club. Attack and defence are scored separately — one blended number would hide the split.
GKP
- Tzolakis HUL£4.7 · 59
- Raya ARS£6.1 · 58
- Kelleher BRE£5.0 · 50
- Leno FUL£4.5 · 49
- Lammens MUN£4.9 · 49
- Trafford LEE£5.0 · 48
- Pickford EVE£5.5 · 47
- Sels NFO£5.0 · 47
- Martinez CHE£5.0 · 47
- Verbruggen BHA£4.5 · 47
DEF
- Tarkowski EVE£6.2 · 63
- Gabriel ARS£7.9 · 61
- Silva BOU£5.0 · 58
- Virgil LIV£6.5 · 57
- Calafiori ARS£5.9 · 55
- Botman NEW£5.0 · 55
- Truffert BOU£5.4 · 54
- Hall NEW£5.3 · 54
- Hill BOU£5.5 · 53
- Khalaili CRY£5.0 · 52
MID
- B.Fernandes MUN£11.9 · 75
- Tavernier BOU£6.1 · 70
- Groß BHA£6.0 · 68
- Mbeumo MUN£7.9 · 67
- Gibbs-White NFO£8.0 · 66
- E.Le Fée SUN£5.7 · 62
- Dewsbury-Hall EVE£6.6 · 59
- Doku MCI£7.4 · 57
- Xhaka SUN£5.4 · 57
- Semenyo MCI£8.3 · 56
FWD
- Haaland MCI£15.6 · 75
- João Pedro CHE£7.8 · 64
- Calvert-Lewin LEE£6.0 · 63
- Gyökeres ARS£7.1 · 61
- Gonzalo FUL£6.1 · 60
- Thiago BRE£7.8 · 58
- Evanilson BOU£6.0 · 55
- McBurnie HUL£5.5 · 53
- Barry EVE£5.7 · 52
- Strand Larsen CRY£6.0 · 51
Ten per position, free. The full board and every player’s working comes with HQ Pro.
A predicted final table — points, title odds, top four, relegation — needs all 38 gameweeks simulated rather than the 15 behind this page. It is being built; publishing a season prediction off a 15-gameweek run would be exactly the kind of number this site exists not to print.