Built 12 Oct, 15:15
What the model expects.
Every number here comes from the engine that marks a squad, projected over the opening 15 gameweeks. Published before the matches so it can be checked against them — the scorecard is here.
- 1MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUN+0.67
- 2ARSCOVavlCHEsunbha+0.66
- 3LIVnewNFOipsFULbou+0.32
- 4BRETOTleeSUNbouCHE+0.26
- 5BHAAVLcheLEEcovARS+0.20
- 6MUNhulIPSeveMCIful+0.19
- ···
- 19SUNipsFULbreARSmci-0.45
- 20COVarsHULmciBHAnfo-0.64
- 1MCIBOUcryCOVmunSUN+0.67
- 2ARSCOVavlCHEsunbha+0.66
- 3LIVnewNFOipsFULbou+0.32
- 4BRETOTleeSUNbouCHE+0.26
- 5BHAAVLcheLEEcovARS+0.20
- 6MUNhulIPSeveMCIful+0.19
- 7NEWLIVtotBOUleeHUL+0.05
- 8NFOLEElivTOTavlCOV+0.04
- 9LEEnfoBREbhaNEWCRY+0.02
- 10EVECRYbouMUNtotIPS0.00
- 11BOUmciEVEnewBRELIV-0.05
- 12CHEfulBHAarsHULbre-0.11
- 13HULMUNcovAVLchenew-0.12
- 14FULCHEsunCRYlivMUN-0.14
- 15CRYeveMCIfulIPSlee-0.18
- 16TOTbreNEWnfoEVEAVL-0.22
- 17AVLbhaARShulNFOtot-0.23
- 18IPSSUNmunLIVcryeve-0.29
- 19SUNipsFULbreARSmci-0.45
- 20COVarsHULmciBHAnfo-0.64
UPPERCASE home · lowercase away
Ranked by net expected goals per game, so a blank can’t flatter a club. Attack and defence are scored separately — one blended number would hide the split.
GKP
- Tzolakis HUL£4.7 · 59
- Raya ARS£6.1 · 58
- Kelleher BRE£5.0 · 50
- Leno FUL£4.5 · 49
- Lammens MUN£4.9 · 49
- Trafford LEE£5.0 · 48
- Pickford EVE£5.5 · 47
- Sels NFO£5.0 · 47
- Martinez CHE£5.0 · 47
- Verbruggen BHA£4.5 · 47
DEF
- Tarkowski EVE£6.2 · 63
- Gabriel ARS£7.9 · 61
- Silva BOU£5.0 · 58
- Virgil LIV£6.5 · 57
- Calafiori ARS£5.9 · 55
- Botman NEW£5.0 · 55
- Truffert BOU£5.4 · 54
- Hall NEW£5.3 · 54
- Hill BOU£5.5 · 53
- Khalaili CRY£5.0 · 52
MID
- B.Fernandes MUN£11.9 · 75
- Tavernier BOU£6.1 · 70
- Groß BHA£6.0 · 68
- Mbeumo MUN£7.9 · 67
- Gibbs-White NFO£8.0 · 66
- E.Le Fée SUN£5.7 · 62
- Dewsbury-Hall EVE£6.6 · 59
- Doku MCI£7.4 · 57
- Xhaka SUN£5.4 · 57
- Semenyo MCI£8.3 · 56
FWD
- Haaland MCI£15.6 · 75
- João Pedro CHE£7.8 · 64
- Calvert-Lewin LEE£6.0 · 63
- Gyökeres ARS£7.1 · 61
- Gonzalo FUL£6.1 · 60
- Thiago BRE£7.8 · 58
- Evanilson BOU£6.0 · 55
- McBurnie HUL£5.5 · 53
- Barry EVE£5.7 · 52
- Strand Larsen CRY£6.0 · 51
Ten per position, free. The full board and every player’s working comes with HQ Pro.
A predicted final table — points, title odds, top four, relegation — needs all 38 gameweeks simulated rather than the 15 behind this page. It is being built; publishing a season prediction off a 15-gameweek run would be exactly the kind of number this site exists not to print.